Die Wettquotenschule

Luciano Darderi v Martin Landaluce

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Heim)

Prognose 58.70%1.70faire Quote
EV +3.90%
Vorteil +2.20%
Kelly +5.06%
Wachstum +0.197%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%59.72%59.31%71.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.001.581.581.77100.00%63.26%63.29%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Martin Landaluce (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.30%2.42faire Quote
EV +34.23%
Vorteil +10.53%
Kelly +15.21%
Wachstum +5.21%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.41%40.28%40.69%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.002.352.233.25100.00%42.61%44.94%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -24.28%E -18.82%K -83.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +34.23%E +10.53%K +15.21%G +5.21%8.3%2026-03-21 01:55
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +30.51%E +9.66%K +14.13%G +4.31%5.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +28.03%E +9.04%K +13.35%G +3.74%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -20.17%E -14.83%K -56.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +23.90%E +7.97%K +11.95%G +2.86%6.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.58%E +4.94%K +7.76%G +1.05%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -17.23%E -12.22%K -42.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%8.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.25%E +1.30%K +2.17%G +0.071%6.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +1.19%E +0.485%K +0.819%G +0.010%7.5%2026-03-21 01:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.77%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 01:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:54
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -1.39%E -0.825%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:45
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:45
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:47
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:44
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 01:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.30%E -41.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.70%E -58.70%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-03-21 01:55
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-21 01:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-21 01:55