A Escola das Odds

Luciano Darderi v Martin Landaluce

Início: 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Local)

Previsão 58.70%1.70odd justa
EV +3.90%
Vantagem +2.20%
Kelly +5.06%
Crescimento +0.197%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%59.72%59.31%71.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.581.581.77100.00%63.26%63.29%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Landaluce (Visitante)

Previsão 41.30%2.42odd justa
EV +34.23%
Vantagem +10.53%
Kelly +15.21%
Crescimento +5.21%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.41%40.28%40.69%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.002.352.233.25100.00%42.61%44.94%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -24.28%E -18.82%K -83.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +34.23%E +10.53%K +15.21%G +5.21%8.3%2026-03-21 01:55
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +30.51%E +9.66%K +14.13%G +4.31%5.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +28.03%E +9.04%K +13.35%G +3.74%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -20.17%E -14.83%K -56.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +23.90%E +7.97%K +11.95%G +2.86%6.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.58%E +4.94%K +7.76%G +1.05%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -17.23%E -12.22%K -42.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%8.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.25%E +1.30%K +2.17%G +0.071%6.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +1.19%E +0.485%K +0.819%G +0.010%7.5%2026-03-21 01:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.77%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 01:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:54
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -1.39%E -0.825%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:45
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:45
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:47
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:44
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 01:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.30%E -41.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.70%E -58.70%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-03-21 01:55
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-21 01:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-21 01:55