The School of Odds

James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

James Duckworth (Hemma)

Prognos 42.00%2.38rättvist odds
EV +0.799%
Fördel +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Roberto Bautista Agut (Borta)

Prognos 58.00%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.56%
Fördel -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 13:59
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 14:00
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 13:59
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:59
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:00
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 13:56
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:07
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:09
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:07
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 13:59
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 13:59
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 14:09
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:07
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:00
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 14:09
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-19 14:10
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45%10.4%2026-03-19 14:06