La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
James Duckworth (Local)
Predicción 42.00%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.799%
Ventaja +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Roberto Bautista Agut (Visitante)
Predicción 58.00%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ReBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 13:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |