StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

James Duckworth (Heim)

Prognose 42.00%2.38faire Quote
EV +0.799%
Vorteil +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Roberto Bautista Agut (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.00%1.72faire Quote
EV -2.56%
Vorteil -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: James Duckworth (Heim): 42.00%; Roberto Bautista Agut (Auswärts): 58.00%. Für James Duckworth (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.38. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.799%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 14:00
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 13:59
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:59
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 13:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:07
Unibet (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:09
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:07
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 13:59
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 14:09
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:07
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:09
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 14:09
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-19 14:10
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45%10.4%2026-03-19 14:06