L’École des cotesLangue:Français
James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
James Duckworth (Local)
Prévision 42.00%2.38cote équitable
EV +0.799%
Avantage +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Roberto Bautista Agut (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.00%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ReBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 13:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |