Szkoła Kursów

James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut

Początek: 2026-03-19 14:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

James Duckworth (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.00%2.38kurs godziwy
EV +0.799%
Przewaga +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Roberto Bautista Agut (Goście)

Prognoza 58.00%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -2.56%
Przewaga -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 13:59
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 14:00
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 14:00
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 13:59
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:59
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:00
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 13:56
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:07
Unibet (FR)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:59
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:09
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:07
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 14:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 13:59
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 13:59
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 14:09
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 14:07
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 14:00
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 14:09
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 14:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-19 14:09
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-19 14:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-19 14:10
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45%10.4%2026-03-19 14:06