La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
James Duckworth v Roberto Bautista Agut
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
James Duckworth (Casa)
Previsione 42.00%2.38quota equa
EV +0.799%
Vantaggio +0.333%
Kelly +0.571%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.96%42.16%44.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.23%44.44%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Roberto Bautista Agut (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.00%1.72quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%58.04%57.84%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.69%61.73%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.799%E +0.333%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.041%E -0.017%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -0.881%E -0.373%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.30%E -0.554%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.72%E -0.735%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ReBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.56%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 13:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.40%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.24%E -1.86%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.08%E -2.25%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.50%E -2.44%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -6.34%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.45%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.94%E -5.69%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -8.02%E -3.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |