Language:English
Jack Draper v Reilly Opelka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jack Draper (Local)
Prediction 71.97%1.39fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%72.05%71.85%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3881.97%76.73%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reilly Opelka (Visit)
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV +17.74%
Edge +4.22%
Kelly +5.54%
Growth +0.983%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%27.95%28.15%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.304.2033.33%29.20%30.30%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jack Draper (Local): 71.97%; Reilly Opelka (Visit): 28.03%. For Reilly Opelka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -12.20%E -10.00%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +17.74%E +4.22%K +5.54%G +0.983% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +12.41%E +3.10%K +4.12%G +0.512% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +5.96%E +1.58%K +2.15%G +0.128% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.12%E +1.37%K +1.86%G +0.095% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +2.32%E +0.636%K +0.876%G +0.020% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.483%E -0.136%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.45%E -0.703%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.686%E -0.497%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.84%E -2.11%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |