La scuola delle quote

Jack Draper v Reilly Opelka

Inizio: 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jack Draper (Casa)

Previsione 71.97%1.39quota equa
EV -0.686%
Vantaggio -0.497%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%72.05%71.85%77.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.301.301.3881.97%76.73%76.92%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reilly Opelka (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.03%3.57quota equa
EV +17.74%
Vantaggio +4.22%
Kelly +5.54%
Crescita +0.983%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.51%27.95%28.15%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.423.304.2033.33%29.20%30.30%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -12.20%E -10.00%K -55.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +17.74%E +4.22%K +5.54%G +0.983%5.8%2026-03-20 20:35
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +12.41%E +3.10%K +4.12%G +0.512%4.9%2026-03-20 20:20
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152%5.1%2026-03-20 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152%6.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +5.96%E +1.58%K +2.15%G +0.128%5.2%2026-03-20 20:04
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.12%E +1.37%K +1.86%G +0.095%4.8%2026-03-20 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086%4.3%2026-03-20 20:39
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086%4.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%2.8%2026-03-20 20:10
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-20 20:34
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +2.32%E +0.636%K +0.876%G +0.020%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%4.1%2026-03-20 20:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%7.1%2026-03-20 20:20
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%7.1%2026-03-20 20:40
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.483%E -0.136%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:38
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:00
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:40
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.45%E -0.703%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:39
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:39
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:39
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:39
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:40
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:39
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 20:39
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.686%E -0.497%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.84%E -2.11%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19%2.0%2026-03-20 20:38
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-03-20 20:40