语言:简体中文
Jack Draper v Reilly Opelka
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jack Draper (主队)
预测 71.97%1.39公平赔率
EV -0.686%
优势 -0.497%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
68.49%72.05%71.85%77.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.301.301.3881.97%76.73%76.92%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Reilly Opelka (客队)
预测 28.03%3.57公平赔率
EV +17.74%
优势 +4.22%
Kelly +5.54%
增长率 +0.983%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.51%27.95%28.15%31.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.423.304.2033.33%29.20%30.30%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jack Draper (主队)：71.97%；Reilly Opelka (客队)：28.03%。 对于“Reilly Opelka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.57。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+17.74%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -12.20%E -10.00%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +17.74%E +4.22%K +5.54%G +0.983% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +12.41%E +3.10%K +4.12%G +0.512% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +5.96%E +1.58%K +2.15%G +0.128% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.12%E +1.37%K +1.86%G +0.095% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +2.32%E +0.636%K +0.876%G +0.020% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.483%E -0.136%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.45%E -0.703%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.686%E -0.497%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.84%E -2.11%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |