La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jack Draper v Reilly Opelka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jack Draper (Local)
Predicción 71.97%1.39momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%72.05%71.85%77.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.301.301.3881.97%76.73%76.92%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reilly Opelka (Visitante)
Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV +17.74%
Ventaja +4.22%
Kelly +5.54%
Crecimiento +0.983%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%27.95%28.15%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.304.2033.33%29.20%30.30%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -12.20%E -10.00%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +17.74%E +4.22%K +5.54%G +0.983% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +12.41%E +3.10%K +4.12%G +0.512% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +5.96%E +1.58%K +2.15%G +0.128% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.12%E +1.37%K +1.86%G +0.095% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +2.32%E +0.636%K +0.876%G +0.020% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.483%E -0.136%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.45%E -0.703%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.686%E -0.497%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.84%E -2.11%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:39 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 20:38 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:40 |