Szkoła Kursów

Jack Draper v Reilly Opelka

Początek: 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jack Draper (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 71.97%1.39kurs godziwy
EV -0.686%
Przewaga -0.497%
Kelly -1.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.49%72.05%71.85%77.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.301.301.3881.97%76.73%76.92%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Reilly Opelka (Goście)

Prognoza 28.03%3.57kurs godziwy
EV +17.74%
Przewaga +4.22%
Kelly +5.54%
Wzrost +0.983%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.51%27.95%28.15%31.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.423.304.2033.33%29.20%30.30%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -12.20%E -10.00%K -55.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +17.74%E +4.22%K +5.54%G +0.983%5.8%2026-03-20 20:35
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +12.41%E +3.10%K +4.12%G +0.512%4.9%2026-03-20 20:20
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152%5.1%2026-03-20 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +6.53%E +1.72%K +2.33%G +0.152%6.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +5.96%E +1.58%K +2.15%G +0.128%5.2%2026-03-20 20:04
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.12%E +1.37%K +1.86%G +0.095%4.8%2026-03-20 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086%4.3%2026-03-20 20:39
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +4.84%E +1.30%K +1.77%G +0.086%4.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%2.8%2026-03-20 20:10
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.88%E -6.16%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%5.2%2026-03-20 20:34
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -10.04%E -8.03%K -40.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.72%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.051%7.0%2026-03-20 20:00
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +2.32%E +0.636%K +0.876%G +0.020%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%4.1%2026-03-20 20:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.3%2026-03-20 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%7.1%2026-03-20 20:20
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +0.919%E +0.255%K +0.353%G +0.003%7.1%2026-03-20 20:40
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.483%E -0.136%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:38
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:00
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:40
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.45%E -0.703%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:39
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:40
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.29%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:39
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:00
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:39
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:39
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:40
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.72%E -4.37%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.16%E -5.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:40
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.60%E -6.77%K -31.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:39
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.22%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.00%E -3.79%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 20:39
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.44%E -4.96%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.32%E -7.40%K -35.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.686%E -0.497%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.84%E -2.11%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19%2.0%2026-03-20 20:38
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-03-20 20:40