The School of Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Hemma)

Prognos 62.13%1.61rättvist odds
EV -3.07%
Fördel -1.97%
Kelly -5.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Borta)

Prognos 37.87%2.64rättvist odds
EV +1.10%
Fördel +0.412%
Kelly +0.659%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007%2.8%2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:49
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:54
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:48
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71%0.4%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-19 17:54