A Escola das Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Início: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)

Previsão 62.13%1.61odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -5.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visitante)

Previsão 37.87%2.64odd justa
EV +1.10%
Vantagem +0.412%
Kelly +0.659%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007%2.8%2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:49
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:54
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:48
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71%0.4%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-19 17:54