Szkoła Kursów

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Początek: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.13%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -3.07%
Przewaga -1.97%
Kelly -5.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Goście)

Prognoza 37.87%2.64kurs godziwy
EV +1.10%
Przewaga +0.412%
Kelly +0.659%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007%2.8%2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:49
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:54
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:48
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71%0.4%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-19 17:54