La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)
Predicción 62.13%1.61momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -5.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visitante)
Predicción 37.87%2.64momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:53 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:48 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 17:38 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| ProphetX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |