Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Inizio: 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

62%

38%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Casa)

Previsione 62.13%1.61quota equa

EV -3.07%

Vantaggio -1.97%

Kelly -5.48%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.87%2.64quota equa

EV +1.10%

Vantaggio +0.412%

Kelly +0.659%

Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Pinnacle	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007%	2.8%	2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%	3.1%	2026-03-19 17:54
BetOnline.ag	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%	3.1%	2026-03-19 17:54
Bovada	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-03-19 17:53
BetUS	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-03-19 17:49
FanDuel	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-19 17:49
Betway	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 17:50
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-19 17:54
PlayUp	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-19 17:54
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 17:00
NordicBet	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-19 17:29
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-19 17:54
TAB	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-19 17:48
Caesars	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-19 17:00
Coral	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (SE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
BetRivers	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
LiveScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (NL)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
Grosvenor	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
TABtouch	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:55
Casumo	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
betPARX	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:55
Bally Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:55
ATG (SE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
Svenska Spel	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 17:54
Marathon Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-19 17:54
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-19 17:54
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-19 17:54
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-19 17:54

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Novig	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29%	2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71%	0.4%	2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%	2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%	0.5%	2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%	2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%	0.5%	2026-03-19 17:55
Matchbook	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%	2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%	0.5%	2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%	0.9%	2026-03-19 17:54
ProphetX	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%	0.9%	2026-03-19 17:54
Smarkets	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%	2.3%	2026-03-19 17:54