L’École des cotes

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)

Prévision 62.13%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -5.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.71%62.19%62.11%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.54%65.36%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.87%2.64cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.412%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%37.81%37.89%39.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.492.502.6742.02%40.09%40.00%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV +1.10%E +0.412%K +0.659%G +0.007%2.8%2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-19 17:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:53
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.344%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 17:49
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.792%E -0.302%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.17%E -0.449%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.55%E -0.596%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.31%E -0.894%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.82%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:29
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:54
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:48
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:55
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.99%E -3.29%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.37%E -3.46%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.12%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.23%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.88%E -4.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.29%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.71%0.4%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-19 17:54
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-19 17:54