The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Emilio Nava v Tomas Machac

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emilio Nava (Local)

Prediction 45.94%2.18fair odd
EV +4.28%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%46.00%46.13%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.052.052.2754.64%48.83%48.78%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Machac (Visit)

Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +3.58%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%54.00%53.87%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.751.9162.50%57.49%57.14%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emilio Nava (Local): 45.94%; Tomas Machac (Visit): 54.06%. For Emilio Nava (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +4.28%E +1.88%K +3.37%G +0.144%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 22:54
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.36%E +1.49%K +2.69%G +0.090%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +1.06%E +0.483%K +0.886%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:54
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.23%E -0.574%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.63%E -5.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:53
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 22:54
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.07%E -0.583%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 22:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 22:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 22:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.93%E -8.71%K -19.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.26%E +1.71%K +3.58%G +0.117%7.0%2026-03-19 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-19 22:54
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-03-19 22:54
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-03-19 22:54
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Novig◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%4.7%2026-03-19 22:54