Emilio Nava v Tomas Machac

Inizio: 2026-03-19 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

46%

54%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Emilio Nava (Casa)

Previsione 45.94%2.18quota equa

EV +4.28%

Vantaggio +1.88%

Kelly +3.37%

Crescita +0.144%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

41.56%46.00%46.13%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.832.052.052.2754.64%48.83%48.78%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Machac (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.06%1.85quota equa

EV +3.26%

Vantaggio +1.71%

Kelly +3.58%

Crescita +0.117%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

48.93%54.00%53.87%58.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.601.741.751.9162.50%57.49%57.14%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Pinnacle	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +4.28%E +1.88%K +3.37%G +0.144%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-19 22:54
TAB	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.36%E +1.49%K +2.69%G +0.090%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.50%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-19 22:55
DraftKings	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +1.06%E +0.483%K +0.886%G +0.009%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-19 22:54
Caesars	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.23%E -0.574%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.63%E -5.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet (UK)	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 22:55
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-19 22:55
NordicBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-19 22:55
Betsson	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-19 22:55
Coral	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
Casumo	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
betPARX	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:55
ATG (SE)	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
Svenska Spel	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 22:55
Hard Rock Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-19 22:53
Fliff	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-03-19 22:54
BetRivers	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-19 22:55
TABtouch	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-19 22:54
LiveScore Bet	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-19 22:54
Virgin Bet	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-19 22:55
Grosvenor	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-19 22:55
Bovada	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.07%E -0.583%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-19 22:55
Betway	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-19 22:55
PointsBet (AU)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-19 22:49
FanDuel	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-19 22:55
Bet Victor	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-19 22:45
LeoVegas	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-19 22:54
Fanatics	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-03-19 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-19 22:55
888sport	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-19 22:50
888sport (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-19 22:50
BoyleSports	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.93%E -8.71%K -19.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.26%E +1.71%K +3.58%G +0.117%	7.0%	2026-03-19 22:44

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	0.4%	2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	0.4%	2026-03-19 22:54
ProphetX	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%	0.9%	2026-03-19 22:54
Smarkets	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	0.9%	2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%	1.5%	2026-03-19 22:54
Matchbook	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%	2.0%	2026-03-19 22:55
Novig	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%	4.7%	2026-03-19 22:54