L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Emilio Nava v Tomas Machac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Emilio Nava (Local)
Prévision 45.94%2.18cote équitable
EV +4.28%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +3.37%
Croissance +0.144%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%46.00%46.13%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.052.052.2754.64%48.83%48.78%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tomas Machac (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.06%1.85cote équitable
EV +3.26%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +3.58%
Croissance +0.117%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.93%54.00%53.87%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.741.751.9162.50%57.49%57.14%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +4.28%E +1.88%K +3.37%G +0.144% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.36%E +1.49%K +2.69%G +0.090% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +1.06%E +0.483%K +0.886%G +0.009% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.23%E -0.574%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.63%E -5.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:53 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.07%E -0.583%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.93%E -8.71%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.26%E +1.71%K +3.58%G +0.117% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| ProphetX | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Novig | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |