The School of Odds

Emilio Nava v Tomas Machac

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Emilio Nava (Hemma)

Prognos 45.94%2.18rättvist odds
EV +4.28%
Fördel +1.88%
Kelly +3.37%
Tillväxt +0.144%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.56%46.00%46.13%51.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.832.052.052.2754.64%48.83%48.78%44.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tomas Machac (Borta)

Prognos 54.06%1.85rättvist odds
EV +3.26%
Fördel +1.71%
Kelly +3.58%
Tillväxt +0.117%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.93%54.00%53.87%58.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.601.741.751.9162.50%57.49%57.14%52.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +4.28%E +1.88%K +3.37%G +0.144%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 22:54
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.36%E +1.49%K +2.69%G +0.090%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +1.06%E +0.483%K +0.886%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:54
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.23%E -0.574%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.63%E -5.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:54
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:53
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 22:54
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:54
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.07%E -0.583%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 22:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 22:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 22:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.93%E -8.71%K -19.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.26%E +1.71%K +3.58%G +0.117%7.0%2026-03-19 22:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-19 22:54
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-03-19 22:54
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-03-19 22:54
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-19 22:55
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%4.7%2026-03-19 22:54