语言:简体中文
Emilio Nava v Tomas Machac
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Emilio Nava (主队)
预测 45.94%2.18公平赔率
EV +4.28%
优势 +1.88%
Kelly +3.37%
增长率 +0.144%
假设最高赔率为 2.27
博彩公司预测分布
41.56%46.00%46.13%51.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.832.052.052.2754.64%48.83%48.78%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tomas Machac (客队)
预测 54.06%1.85公平赔率
EV +3.26%
优势 +1.71%
Kelly +3.58%
增长率 +0.117%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
48.93%54.00%53.87%58.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.741.751.9162.50%57.49%57.14%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Emilio Nava (主队)：45.94%；Tomas Machac (客队)：54.06%。 对于“Emilio Nava (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.27，对应+4.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +4.28%E +1.88%K +3.37%G +0.144% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -9.18%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +3.36%E +1.49%K +2.69%G +0.090% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -13.50%E -8.44%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +1.06%E +0.483%K +0.886%G +0.009% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -10.26%E -6.18%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.23%E -0.574%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.63%E -5.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.76%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 22:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.07%E -0.583%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.12%E -4.06%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.93%E -8.71%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.26%E +1.71%K +3.58%G +0.117% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 22:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 22:54 |