Language:English
Arthur Fils v Darwin Blanch
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 81.89%1.22fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -18.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.17%82.10%81.43%85.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.34%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Darwin Blanch (Visit)
Prediction 18.11%5.52fair odd
EV +19.18%
Edge +2.91%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.659%
assuming max odds 6.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.77%17.90%18.57%19.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.395.506.5821.51%18.54%18.18%15.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 81.89%; Darwin Blanch (Visit): 18.11%. For Darwin Blanch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +19.18%E +2.91%K +3.44%G +0.659% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +3.78%E +0.660%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.19%E -0.406%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.00%E -0.755%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.53%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.34%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.15%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.06%E -2.72%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.78%E -3.39%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37% | 1.6% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |