La scuola delle quote

Arthur Fils v Darwin Blanch

Inizio: 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Fils (Casa)

Previsione 81.89%1.22quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -2.86%
Kelly -18.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.17%82.10%81.43%85.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.34%86.96%84.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Darwin Blanch (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.11%5.52quota equa
EV +19.18%
Vantaggio +2.91%
Kelly +3.44%
Crescita +0.659%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.77%17.90%18.57%19.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.655.395.506.5821.51%18.54%18.18%15.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +19.18%E +2.91%K +3.44%G +0.659%2.9%2026-03-20 23:15
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%6.0%2026-03-20 22:55
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%6.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%7.6%2026-03-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127%4.5%2026-03-20 22:55
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127%4.5%2026-03-20 22:55
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053%5.0%2026-03-20 23:14
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053%5.0%2026-03-20 22:55
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%5.1%2026-03-20 23:18
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%5.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +3.78%E +0.660%K +0.800%G +0.030%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:55
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:19
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.19%E -0.406%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.00%E -0.755%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:19
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:20
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:20
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 23:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.53%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:18
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.34%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 23:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:20
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.15%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:19
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.06%E -2.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:19
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.78%E -3.39%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-20 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:05
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37%1.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-20 23:05