StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils v Darwin Blanch

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils (Heim)

Prognose 81.89%1.22faire Quote
EV -3.37%
Vorteil -2.86%
Kelly -18.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.17%82.10%81.43%85.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.34%86.96%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Darwin Blanch (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.11%5.52faire Quote
EV +19.18%
Vorteil +2.91%
Kelly +3.44%
Wachstum +0.659%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.58

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.77%17.90%18.57%19.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.655.395.506.5821.51%18.54%18.18%15.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Fils (Heim): 81.89%; Darwin Blanch (Auswärts): 18.11%. Für Darwin Blanch (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.52. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.58 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +19.18%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +19.18%E +2.91%K +3.44%G +0.659%2.9%2026-03-20 23:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%6.0%2026-03-20 22:55
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%6.0%2026-03-20 23:00
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151%7.6%2026-03-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127%4.5%2026-03-20 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127%4.5%2026-03-20 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053%5.0%2026-03-20 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053%5.0%2026-03-20 22:55
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%5.1%2026-03-20 23:18
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%5.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +3.78%E +0.660%K +0.800%G +0.030%3.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:55
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:19
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.19%E -0.406%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.00%E -0.755%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:20
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 23:20
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.53%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:18
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:20
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.34%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 23:20
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:20
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.15%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:19
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.06%E -2.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.78%E -3.39%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 23:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-20 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-20 23:05
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37%1.6%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-20 23:05