La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Darwin Blanch
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 81.89%1.22momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -18.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.17%82.10%81.43%85.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.34%86.96%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Darwin Blanch (Visitante)
Predicción 18.11%5.52momio equitativo
EV +19.18%
Ventaja +2.91%
Kelly +3.44%
Crecimiento +0.659%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.77%17.90%18.57%19.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.655.395.506.5821.51%18.54%18.18%15.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +19.18%E +2.91%K +3.44%G +0.659% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Coral | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +3.78%E +0.660%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.19%E -0.406%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.00%E -0.755%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| ReBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.53%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.34%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.15%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.06%E -2.72%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.78%E -3.39%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37% | 1.6% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |