Langue:Français
Arthur Fils v Darwin Blanch
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prévision 81.89%1.22cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -18.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.17%82.10%81.43%85.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.34%86.96%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Darwin Blanch (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.11%5.52cote équitable
EV +19.18%
Avantage +2.91%
Kelly +3.44%
Croissance +0.659%
avec la cote maximale 6.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.77%17.90%18.57%19.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.655.395.506.5821.51%18.54%18.18%15.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Fils (Local) : 81.89% ; Darwin Blanch (Visiteur) : 18.11%. Pour Darwin Blanch (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.52. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.58, soit une espérance positive de +19.18%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77%EV +19.18%E +2.91%K +3.44%G +0.659% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +8.67%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.151% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +7.95%E +1.33%K +1.60%G +0.127% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.05%E +0.871%K +1.05%G +0.053% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +4.15%E +0.721%K +0.873%G +0.036% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.16%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +3.78%E +0.660%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.19%E -0.406%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.00%E -0.755%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.82%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.29%E -7.40%K -69.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.63%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.37%E -2.86%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.53%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.44%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -7.47%E -6.61%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.34%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.25%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.15%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.19%E -3.58%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -13.06%E -2.72%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.86%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -15.78%E -3.39%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37% | 1.6% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |