Школа коэффициентов

Arthur Cazaux v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Начало: 2026-03-20 23:20 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arthur Cazaux (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.06%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.30%
Преимущество -1.44%
Kelly -3.83%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.15%61.18%61.05%62.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.551.531.6066.67%64.71%65.36%62.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Гости)

Прогноз 38.94%2.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.709%
Преимущество -0.278%
Kelly -0.458%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.50%38.82%38.95%39.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.462.462.5542.55%40.69%40.57%39.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 22:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.709%E -0.278%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 22:49
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:49
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-20 23:05