مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Cazaux v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

البداية: 2026-03-20 23:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Cazaux (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.06%1.64السعر العادل
EV -2.30%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -3.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.15%61.18%61.05%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.551.531.6066.67%64.71%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.94%2.57السعر العادل
EV -0.709%
الأفضلية -0.278%
Kelly -0.458%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%38.82%38.95%39.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.462.462.5542.55%40.69%40.57%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 22:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.709%E -0.278%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 22:49
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:49
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-20 23:05