Szkoła Kursów

Arthur Cazaux v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Początek: 2026-03-20 23:20 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arthur Cazaux (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.06%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -2.30%
Przewaga -1.44%
Kelly -3.83%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.15%61.18%61.05%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.551.531.6066.67%64.71%65.36%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Goście)

Prognoza 38.94%2.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.709%
Przewaga -0.278%
Kelly -0.458%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%38.82%38.95%39.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.462.462.5542.55%40.69%40.57%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 22:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.709%E -0.278%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 22:49
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 22:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:49
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:49
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 22:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 22:49
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-20 23:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-20 23:05