La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Arthur Cazaux v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Arthur Cazaux (Casa)
Previsione 61.06%1.64quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.15%61.18%61.05%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.551.531.6066.67%64.71%65.36%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.94%2.57quota equa
EV -0.709%
Vantaggio -0.278%
Kelly -0.458%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%38.82%38.95%39.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.462.5542.55%40.69%40.57%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.709%E -0.278%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 22:49 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12% | 2.7% | 2026-03-20 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |