Arthur Cazaux v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Início: 2026-03-20 23:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

61%

39%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Cazaux (Local)

Previsão 61.06%1.64odd justa

EV -2.30%

Vantagem -1.44%

Kelly -3.83%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

60.15%61.18%61.05%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.501.551.531.6066.67%64.71%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante)

Previsão 38.94%2.57odd justa

EV -0.709%

Vantagem -0.278%

Kelly -0.458%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

37.50%38.82%38.95%39.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

2.352.462.462.5542.55%40.69%40.57%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.83%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-03-20 22:50
1xBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-20 22:39
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
LowVig.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
BetUS	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 22:49
Fanatics	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-20 22:49
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.13%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (DE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.709%E -0.278%K -0.458%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-20 22:49
Bovada	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-20 22:50
FanDuel	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-20 22:50
DraftKings	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-20 23:00
Betsson	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-20 22:49
NordicBet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-20 22:50
ReBet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Right	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
PointsBet (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 22:50
Betr (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 23:00
SportsBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-20 22:49
Marathon Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-20 22:49
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-20 22:49
PlayUp	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-20 22:49
TAB	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-20 22:49
Winamax (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 22:49
theScore Bet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 22:50
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
BetRivers	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
LiveScore Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Grosvenor	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
TABtouch	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
Casumo	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Unibet (NL)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
Unibet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
ATG (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
betPARX	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Svenska Spel	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Bally Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:49
Hard Rock Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
Coral	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-20 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-20 22:49
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-20 22:49
PMU (FR)	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
Bet Victor	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-20 22:50
Everygame	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.57%E -4.30%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-20 22:50
Virgin Bet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-20 22:49
Caesars	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.60%K -16.81%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-20 22:50

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Matchbook	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	0.5%	2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%	0.8%	2026-03-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%	0.8%	2026-03-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%	0.8%	2026-03-20 23:00
Novig	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%	2.7%	2026-03-20 23:00
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%	2.8%	2026-03-20 23:05