Language:English
Alexander Shevchenko v Ugo Humbert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Shevchenko (Local)
Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.05%23.86%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.48%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ugo Humbert (Visit)
Prediction 75.95%1.32fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -13.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.95%76.14%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2781.97%79.87%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 24.05%; Ugo Humbert (Visit): 75.95%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.40%E -0.342%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.61%E -0.643%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -3.33%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.14%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |