Język:Polski
Alexander Shevchenko v Ugo Humbert
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alexander Shevchenko (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 24.05%4.16kurs godziwy
EV +1.00%
Przewaga +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.51%24.05%23.86%25.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.48%25.64%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ugo Humbert (Goście)
Prognoza 75.95%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -3.54%
Przewaga -2.79%
Kelly -13.11%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.23%75.95%76.14%77.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.251.251.2781.97%79.87%80.00%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexander Shevchenko (Gospodarze): 24.05%; Ugo Humbert (Goście): 75.95%. Dla wyniku Alexander Shevchenko (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.16. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.20, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.00%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.40%E -0.342%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.61%E -0.643%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -3.33%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.14%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |