A Escola das Odds

Alexander Shevchenko v Ugo Humbert

Início: 2026-03-23 15:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Previsão 24.05%4.16odd justa
EV +1.00%
Vantagem +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.51%24.05%23.86%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.48%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Visitante)

Previsão 75.95%1.32odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -2.79%
Kelly -13.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.23%75.95%76.14%77.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2781.97%79.87%80.00%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.40%E -0.342%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
LowVig.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetOnline.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.61%E -0.643%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -3.33%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.14%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:59
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:57
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:00
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
1xBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 14:58
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 14:58
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 14:58
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 14:59
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Novig4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%1.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-23 14:59