StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Shevchenko v Ugo Humbert

Matchstart: 2026-03-23 15:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Shevchenko (Hemma)

Prognos 24.05%4.16rättvist odds
EV +1.00%
Fördel +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.51%24.05%23.86%25.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.48%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ugo Humbert (Borta)

Prognos 75.95%1.32rättvist odds
EV -3.54%
Fördel -2.79%
Kelly -13.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.23%75.95%76.14%77.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.251.251.2781.97%79.87%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Shevchenko (Hemma): 24.05%; Ugo Humbert (Borta): 75.95%. För Alexander Shevchenko (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.16. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.40%E -0.342%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.61%E -0.643%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -3.33%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.14%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:59
GTbets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:57
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:00
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
1xBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 14:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 14:58
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 14:58
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 14:59
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Novig4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%1.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-23 14:59