默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Shevchenko v Ugo Humbert

开赛时间: 2026-03-23 15:20 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Shevchenko (主队)

预测 24.05%4.16公平赔率
EV +1.00%
优势 +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.51%24.05%23.86%25.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.48%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ugo Humbert (客队)

预测 75.95%1.32公平赔率
EV -3.54%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -13.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布
74.23%75.95%76.14%77.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.251.251.2781.97%79.87%80.00%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alexander Shevchenko (主队):24.05%;Ugo Humbert (客队):75.95%。 对于“Alexander Shevchenko (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.20,对应+1.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 14:59
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 15:00
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.40%E -0.342%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.37%E -0.583%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.61%E -0.643%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -3.33%E -0.828%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.14%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:59
GTbets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 15:00
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:57
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 15:00
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.82%E -4.69%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.58%E -5.35%K -28.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 14:59
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:00
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.30%E -3.41%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 15:00
1xBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -8.14%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 14:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.54%E -2.79%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 14:58
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.34%E -6.02%K -33.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 14:58
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.06%E -4.05%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 14:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 14:59
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-03-23 15:00
Novig4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%1.7%2026-03-23 15:00
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-23 14:59