The School of Odds

Vilius Gaubas v Sebastian Baez

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 13:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Vilius Gaubas (Hemma)

Prognos 30.89%3.24rättvist odds
EV +0.384%
Fördel +0.118%
Kelly +0.171%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.36%30.88%30.72%32.56%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.81%32.79%30.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Borta)

Prognos 69.11%1.45rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -2.32%
Kelly -8.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.44%69.12%69.28%70.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.84%72.46%71.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.384%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 13:00
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -0.233%E -0.072%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 10:54
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 13:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 02:30
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.70%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:11
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:14
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:15
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:54
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.65%K -27.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:29
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:10
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 02:29
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 13:09
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 13:10
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:45
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 02:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:04
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:44
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:29
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 06:34
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:03
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 06:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 13:14
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 14:36
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 14:36
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-04-23 13:15
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-23 13:15
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%3.4%2026-04-23 13:10