La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vilius Gaubas v Sebastian Baez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vilius Gaubas (Local)
Predicción 30.89%3.24momio equitativo
EV +0.384%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.171%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%30.88%30.72%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.81%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 69.11%1.45momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -8.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.12%69.28%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.84%72.46%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.384%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -0.233%E -0.072%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.70%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 13:11 |
| GTbets | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.65%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 01:04 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 06:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |