Lingua:Italiano
Vilius Gaubas v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vilius Gaubas (Casa)
Previsione 30.89%3.24quota equa
EV +0.384%
Vantaggio +0.118%
Kelly +0.171%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.36%30.88%30.72%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.81%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.11%1.45quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -2.32%
Kelly -8.11%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.12%69.28%70.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.84%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vilius Gaubas (Casa): 30.89%; Sebastian Baez (Trasferta): 69.11%. Per Vilius Gaubas (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.24. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.384%.
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.384%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -0.233%E -0.072%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.70%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 13:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.65%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 06:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |