مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Vilius Gaubas v Sebastian Baez
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vilius Gaubas (المضيف)
التنبؤ 30.89%3.24السعر العادل
EV +0.384%
الأفضلية +0.118%
Kelly +0.171%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.36%30.88%30.72%32.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.81%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Sebastian Baez (الضيف)
التنبؤ 69.11%1.45السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -2.32%
Kelly -8.11%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.44%69.12%69.28%70.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.84%72.46%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.384%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -0.233%E -0.072%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.70%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 13:11 |
| GTbets | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.65%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 01:04 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 06:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:36 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |