Szkoła Kursów

Vilius Gaubas v Sebastian Baez

Początek: 2026-04-23 13:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vilius Gaubas (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 30.89%3.24kurs godziwy
EV +0.384%
Przewaga +0.118%
Kelly +0.171%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.36%30.88%30.72%32.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.81%32.79%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sebastian Baez (Goście)

Prognoza 69.11%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -3.24%
Przewaga -2.32%
Kelly -8.11%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.44%69.12%69.28%70.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.84%72.46%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.384%E +0.118%K +0.171%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 13:00
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -0.233%E -0.072%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 10:54
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 13:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 02:30
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.70%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:11
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:14
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:15
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:55
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:54
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:54
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.65%K -27.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:29
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:10
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:50
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 02:29
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 13:09
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 13:10
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:45
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 02:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:04
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:44
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:50
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:29
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 06:34
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:50
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 13:03
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:49
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 06:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 13:14
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 14:36
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 14:36
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.62%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 13:09
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-04-23 13:15
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.2%2026-04-23 13:15
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%3.4%2026-04-23 13:10