A Escola das Odds

Roberto Bautista Agut v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Início: 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)

Previsão 36.09%2.77odd justa
EV +1.06%
Vantagem +0.378%
Kelly +0.587%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.01%36.27%35.47%39.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.612.632.8042.02%38.30%38.02%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 63.91%1.56odd justa
EV -0.942%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.87%63.73%64.53%66.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.471.451.5572.46%68.08%68.97%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.06%E +0.378%K +0.587%G +0.006%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.81%E -8.56%K -31.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:38
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 13:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:37
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:38
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:38
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:39
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:38
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:38
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:40
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.89%E -7.01%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:40
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:38
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.942%E -0.608%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 13:40
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:25
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:39
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:40
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:37
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:39
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:40
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:38
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:38
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 13:38
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:39
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-04-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-04-22 13:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-22 13:40
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%3.4%2026-04-22 13:38