La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roberto Bautista Agut v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roberto Bautista Agut (Casa)
Previsione 36.09%2.77quota equa
EV +1.06%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.587%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.01%36.27%35.47%39.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.612.632.8042.02%38.30%38.02%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.91%1.56quota equa
EV -0.942%
Vantaggio -0.608%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.87%63.73%64.53%66.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.471.451.5572.46%68.08%68.97%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.06%E +0.378%K +0.587%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.81%E -8.56%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:37 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.89%E -7.01%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.942%E -0.608%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| GTbets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:37 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |