مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roberto Bautista Agut v Thiago Agustin Tirante

البداية: 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.09%2.77السعر العادل
EV +1.06%
الأفضلية +0.378%
Kelly +0.587%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.01%36.27%35.47%39.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.612.632.8042.02%38.30%38.02%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.91%1.56السعر العادل
EV -0.942%
الأفضلية -0.608%
Kelly -1.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.87%63.73%64.53%66.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.471.451.5572.46%68.08%68.97%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.06%E +0.378%K +0.587%G +0.006%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.81%E -8.56%K -31.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:38
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 13:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:37
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:38
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:38
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:39
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:38
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:38
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 13:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:40
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:39
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.89%E -7.01%K -24.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:39
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:40
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:38
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.942%E -0.608%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:34
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 13:40
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:25
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:39
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:40
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 13:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:37
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:39
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:40
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:35
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:39
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:38
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:38
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 13:38
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:39
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:39
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-04-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-04-22 13:40
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-04-22 13:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-22 13:40
Novig2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%3.4%2026-04-22 13:38