La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 36.09%2.77momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.587%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.01%36.27%35.47%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.612.632.8042.02%38.30%38.02%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 63.91%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.942%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%63.73%64.53%66.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.451.5572.46%68.08%68.97%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.06%E +0.378%K +0.587%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.81%E -8.56%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.026%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:37 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.747%E -0.272%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.83%E -0.673%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.78%E -3.21%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.55%E -0.945%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Fliff | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.89%E -7.01%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -0.942%E -0.608%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| GTbets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 13:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.33%E -3.28%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:37 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.42%E -3.66%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.10%E -5.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 13:38 |