赔率学院

Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Rafael Jodar (主队)

预测 75.06%1.33公平赔率
EV +5.08%
优势 +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
增长率 +0.645%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MIN均值中位数MAX

Jesper De Jong (客队)

预测 24.94%4.01公平赔率
EV +50.16%
优势 +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
增长率 +5.01%

假设最高赔率为 6.02

博彩公司预测分布
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01%2.8%2026-04-22 17:45
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%2.9%2026-04-22 17:50
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%4.3%2026-04-22 17:38
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%5.1%2026-04-22 17:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07%6.7%2026-04-22 17:49
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%5.3%2026-04-22 17:10
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:10
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:46
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81%5.1%2026-04-22 17:09
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%5.5%2026-04-22 17:10
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%7.7%2026-04-22 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:10
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:09
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911%8.0%2026-04-22 17:09
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%7.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%9.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111%4.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:53
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:52
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54