La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 75.06%1.33momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
Crecimiento +0.645%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jesper De Jong (Visitante)
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV +50.16%
Ventaja +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
Crecimiento +5.01%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 17:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| BetUS | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:53 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:52 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |